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申万宏源:日本经济“内循环” 消费+投资双轮驱动
日本“内循环”的特征:消费+投资双轮驱动。 2024年二、三季度,居民消费对于实际GDP增速的环比拉动转正,私人投资对GDP增速亦形成正贡献。消费由收入驱动,“春斗”涨薪和财产性收入是两大动力。前期日元贬值推升企业利润,后续观察投资复苏是否可持续。
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