In an email of his data, the yield curve’s slope turned negative 19 months ahead of the November 1973–March 1975 downturn and ...

The Edge Singapore spoke to Winston Lim, head of deposits and wealth management at UOB, on the basics of a yield curve.

Markets are no doubt cheering the selection of macro investor Scott Bessent as Trump’s new Treasury Secretary. Stocks are ...

The shorter end U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield (US2Y) and the longer end U.S. 10 Year (US10Y) look to potentially re-invert on ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

This is a concern because this is a well-regarded indicator of a coming U.S. recession. The yield curve has a strong track-record in predicting recessions with very few false positives over recent ...

While the yield curve is inverted, that doesn't mean the closely watched recession indicator is predicting a downturn ahead, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. For years, he has been saying ...

Of course, this is all assuming the recession actually ended which I ... The only thing the yield curve is predicting for now is that deflation is retaking its grip on global markets.