Our weekly simulation for forward U.K. Gilt yields and pound sterling. Read the latest update, as of January 3, 2025.

Propagation of distributions by Monte-Carlo sampling: Real number types with uncertainty represented by samples.

A userland PHP implementation of a number of tools for working with statistical distributions in PHP.

In this week’s forecast, the focus is on three elements of interest rate behavior: The future probability of the ...

All of statistics and much of science depends on probability—an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure ...

Abstract: The long-term fluctuation of transmission loss in scatter propagation systems has been found to have a logarithmicnormal distribution. In other words, the scatter loss in decibels has ...

Lisa Cook warns of elevated U.S. stock and corporate bond valuations, raising concerns about potential market risks and ...

Two-stage problem of stochastic convex programming with fuzzy probability distribution is studied in this paper. Multicut L-shaped algorithm is proposed to solve the problem based on the fuzzy cutting ...

What happens when experts from vastly different disciplines—climate science, mathematics, and meteorology—join forces to tackle the same pressing ...

Most observations are near the mean (3.4 grams) but a few are much larger or smaller. The normal distribution is widely used in probability theory and underlies much of statistical inference. The ...

confidence intervals and possibly Bayesian posterior distributions, all of which are dependent on probability. And yet, any numerical probability, I will argue — whether in a scientific paper ...