When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

Rising interest rates and inflation caused investors to worry more about a recession. A little more than six months later, the yield curve had inverted: Source: www.ustreasuryyieldcurve.com.

In an email of his data, the yield curve’s slope turned negative 19 months ahead of the November 1973–March 1975 downturn and ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

This is a concern because this is a well-regarded indicator of a coming U.S. recession. The yield curve has a strong track-record in predicting recessions with very few false positives over recent ...

In fact, "every US recession in the past 60 years was preceded by... an inverted yield curve," note Michael D Bauer and Thomas M Mertens of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in a paper on ...

An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it’s about to light up again. WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted ...

The countdown to an economic recession as begun after the 3-month and 10-year yield curve finally inverted. Research firm TS Lombard expects a recession to hit the US economy within the next 12 ...

While the yield curve is inverted, that doesn't mean the closely watched recession indicator is predicting a downturn ahead, according to market veteran Ed Yardeni. For years, he has been saying ...

The shorter end U.S. 2 Year Treasury yield (US2Y) and the longer end U.S. 10 Year (US10Y) look to potentially re-invert on ...